Conference Program

Wednesday, 16th September 2015

Chairman: Juan José Egozcue
Departament de Matemàtica Aplicada III. Universitat Politècnica de Catalunya. Barcelona (Spain)


  • (Solicited) On Bayesian inference for non-stationary extremes
    David Randell, Matthew Jones, Kathryn Turnbull, Philip Jonathan
    Shell Research Limited, Manchester / Lancaster University (UK).
  • Modelling non-stationary environmental extremes
    Elena Zanini, Emma Eastoe, Jonathan Tawn, Philip Jonathan, David Randell
    Department of Mathematics and Statistics, Lancaster University (UK)
  • Balancing Two Types Errors in Detecting the Difference between the Occurrence Rates of Extremes due to the Climate Change
    Toshikazu Kitano
    Nagoya Institute of Technology (Japan)
  • Parsimonious and Flexible Models for Spatial Extremes
    Monika Kereszturi* and Jonathan Tawn
    Mathematics and Statistics, Lancaster University (UK)
  • Environmental Contours for a Conditional Multivariate Extreme Model
    Marc Prevosto, Thomas Bulteau*, Yanira Guanche, François Paris
    BRGM-Bureau de Recherches Géologiques et Minières, Orléans (France)
  • Considering the non-simultaneous occurrence of extremes via Copulas
    Jens Bender, Thomas Wahl, Alfred Müller, Jürgen Jensen
    University of Siegen. Research Institute for Water and Environment (Germany)
  • An event-based approach for extreme joint probabilities of waves and sea levels
    Franck Mazas and Luc Hamm
    ARTELIA (France)
  • Modeling dependence through CrEnC copulas: application to rainfall data
    M.I. Ortego, J.J. Egozcue
    Departament de Matemàtica Aplicada III. Universitat Politècnica de Catalunya (UPC). Barcelona (Spain)
  • Extreme wind speed in France: regional versus local analysis
    Sylvie Parey, Pietro Bernardara, Marc Andreewsy.
    Electricité de France, Recherche & Développement. EDF Lab Chatou ( France)
  • Simulation model of temperatures and cold waves (poster)
    Thi Thu Huong Hoang, Sylvie Parey.
    EDF R& D, (France)
  • Wind / Wave directional modelling: a compositional approach (poster)
    M.I. Ortego, J.J. Egozcue, J. Gómez, C. Mösso and A. Sánchez-Arcilla
    Departament de Matemàtica Aplicada III. Universitat Politècnica de Catalunya (UPC). Barcelona (Spain)

Keynote Lecture:

  • Applying multivariate extremes value methods for univariate and spatial flood risk assessment.
    Jonathan Tawn
    Mathematics and Statistics, Lancaster University (UK)


Chairman:  Ben Gouldby
Flood Management Group, HR Wallingford (UK)


  • (Solicited) Toward a coherent framework for the Hazards Combinations characterisation
    Pietro Bernardara, Arthur Penserini, Sylvaine Maurau
    EDF Energy R&D UK Centre, London (UK)
  • Quantile-Based Risk Assessment of Spatial Threshold Exceedances
    José M. Angulo*, Ana E. Madrid, José L. Romero
    Department of Statistics and Operations Research, University of Granada (Spain) 
  • Assessing the Risk of Heatwaves using Extreme Value Theory
    Hugo Winter, Jonathan Tawn, Simon Brown
    Department of Mathematics and Statistics, Lancaster University (UK)
  • Changing failure probabilities of individual dike sections within their operating time under non-stationary conditions
    Sebastian Niehüser, Jens Bender, Jürgen Jensen
    University of Siegen, Research Institute for Water and Environment (Germany)
  • New Procedure for Probabilistic Hazard Assessment from Incomplete and Uncertain Data (Poster)
    Ansie Smit, Andrzej Kijko, Inger Fabris-Rotelli, Paul van Staden
    University of Pretoria. Natural Hazard Centre, University of Pretoria (South Africa)


Wednesday, 16th September 2015
  • (Solicited) Increasing risk of compound flooding from storm surge and rainfall for major US coastal cities
    Thomas Wahl*, Shaleen Jain, Jens Bender, Steven D. Meyers, Mark E. Luther
    College of Marine Science, University of South Florida.
  • Statistical Methods for Determining Storm Surge Return Levels along the U.S. Gulf Coast
    Hal Needham*, Barry Keim, David Sathiaraj and Amanda Lewis.
    Department of Geography and Anthropology, Louisiana State University (US)
  • Sea level rise induced changes in the design levels of coastal defenses along the northern German Bight
    Arne Arns* and Jürgen Jensen
    Research Institute for Water and Environment, University of Siegen (Germany)
  • On the estimation of centennial flooding levels
    Yanira Guanche, François Paris, Thomas Bulteau*, Marc Prevosto and Christophe Maisondieu
    BRGM-Bureau de Recherches Géologiques et Minières, Orléans (France)
  • Coastal-storm inundation hazard assessment using the Monte Carlo joint-probability extreme sea level method
    Scott A. Stephens*, Derek Goring, Rob Bell
    National Institute of Water and Atmospheric Research (New Zealand)
  • Monte-Carlo climate-based multivariate emulator for coastal flooding
    Ana Rueda*, Paula Camus, Antonio Tomás, Fernando Méndez.
    Departamento de Ciencias y Técnicas del Agua y del Medio Ambiente, Universidad de Cantabria (Spain)
  • Simulating the relative contributions of extreme total water levels along the US West Coast
    Katherine Serafin, Peter Ruggiero* and Hilary Stockdon
    College of Earth, Ocean, and Atmospheric Science, Oregon State University ( US)
  • Characterization of multivariate flooding extremes through composition of conditioned fits
    Manuel del Jesus*, Paula Camus, Fernando Méndez, Iñigo J. Losada
    Environmental Hydraulics Institute “IH Cantabria”, Universidad de Cantabria (Spain)
  • Coupling a multivariate extreme value model with an emulator for national-scale, coastal flood risk analysis
    David Wyncoll* and Ben Gouldby
    Flood Management Group, HR Wallingford (UK)
  • Exploring spatio-temporal patterns of Swiss hourly heavy precipitation
    Anne Schindler*, Andrea Toreti, Sophie Fukutome
    Federal Institute of Meteorology and Climatology MeteoSwiss, Zurich (Switzerland)
  • Seasonality of Extreme Precipitation Events in a Changing Climate: A nonparametric approach and critical considerations for climate change studies
    Shaleen Jain* and Nirajan Dhakal
    University of Maine (US)
  • Usefulness of historical information in extreme value analysis of coastal water levels or how to relativize outlier (Poster)
    Thomas Bulteau*, Déborah Idier, Jérôme Lambert, Manuel Garcin
    BRGM-Bureau de Recherches Géologiques et Minières, Orléans (France)
  • Non-stationarity in US extreme sea level records and the role of large scale climate variations (Poster)
    Thomas Wahl and Don P. Chambers
    College of Marine Science, University of South Florida.


  • (Solicited) Spatial/regional and temporal footprint analysis of extreme sea level events Ivan D. Haigh, Matthew P. Wadey and Robert J. Nicholls
    Ocean and Earth Sciences, National Oceanography Centre, University of Southampton (UK)
  • Analysis of the exceptionality of the Winter 2013-2014 in the North Atlantic based on weather types
    Paula Camus, Fernando Méndez, Ana Rueda, José Antolínez.
    Environmental Hydraulics Institute “IH Cantabria”, Universidad de Cantabria ( Spain)
  • Modelling extremes arising from extra-tropical cyclones
    Paul Sharkey, Jonathan Tawn, Simon Brown, Pietro Bernardara
    STOR-i Centre of Doctoral Training, Lancaster University (UK)
  • A Stochastic Cyclone Based Study of Wind and Wave Driven Extreme Sea Levels at a Pacific Island Capitol
    Paul Ron K Hoeke, Kathy L. McInnes, Julian O’Grady
    Ocean and Climate Dynamics Program, CSIRO (Australia)
  • Tropical Cyclone-induced Extreme Waves
    Emanuele Terrile
    Oceanography and Marine Modeling Unit, D’Appolonia S.p.A. (Italy)
  • Sea state climatology around Reunion Island: analysis of the present climate and the future evolutions under climate change scenarios
    Jessie Louisor, Amélie Laugel, Michel Benoit
    Saint-Venant Hydraulics Laboratory, Université Paris-Est (ENPC, EDF, Cerema), Chatou, (France)
  • Exploring changes in hurricane-induced wave heights in the Caribbean (Poster)
    Ruben Montoya, Melisa Menendez, Andrés F. Osorio
    Environmental Hydraulics Institute “IHCantabria”, Universidad de Cantabria ( Spain)

Wednesday, 16th September 2015
  • (Solicited) Extreme events in a Changing Climate
    Félix Francés
    Research Institute of Water and Environmental Engineering, Universitat Politècnica de València (Spain)
  • Nonstationarity in Extremes and Changes in Flood Risk in a Warming Climate
    Linyin Cheng, Elisa Ragno, Xue Cui, Amir AghaKouchak
    Center for Hydrometeorology and Remote Sensing, Dept. of Civil and Environmental Engineering, University of California Irvine (USA)
  • Global storm surge climate change projections
    Alba Cid, Paula Camus, Sonia Castanedo, Fernando Méndez and Raúl Medina
    Environmental Hydraulics Institute “IH Cantabria”, Universidad de Cantabria ( Spain)
  • On the Credibility of Regional Climate Models to Reproduce Extreme Precipitation
    Ana Casanueva, Sixto Herrera, José Manuel Gutiérrez, Jesús Fernández
    Meteorology Group, Department of Applied Mathematics and Comp. Sci., University of Cantabria (Spain) * *
  • The assessment of extreme rainfall at Buon Me Thuot city in Central Highlands Vietnam
    Manh Hung Le, Biswa Bhattacharya, Cao Don Nguyen, Luong Bang Nguyen
    UNESCO-IHE. Institute for Water Education, Delft (Netherlands)
  • Extremes in hydraulic modelling. Combined capabilities in the Spanish network MARHIS
    Agustín Sánchez-Arcilla, Iñigo Losada, Francisco Luis Martín, Daniel González-Marco
    Laboratori d’Enginyeria Marítima, Universitat Politècnica de Catalunya, Barcelonatec (Spain)
  • Characteristics of extreme events in an ensemble of dynamical GCM forced wave climate simulations
    Mark Hemer
    CSIRO Oceans and Atmosphere Flagship, Hobart, Tasmania (Australia)
  • Quantifying extreme maximum temperatures in a changing climate
    Kate Brown, Simon Brown, Rachel McInnes and Michael Sanderson
    Met Office Hadley Centre, Exeter (UK)
  • Temperature and precipitation extremes over Spain for the 21st century: return periods
    Petra Ramos-Calzado, M. Pilar Amblas-Francés, M. Jesús Casado-Calle, Ernesto Rodríguez-Camino , M. Asunción Pastor-Saavedra
    AEMET. Delegación Territorial de Andalucía, Ceuta y Melilla, Sevilla (Spain)
  • Heat Waves in Extremadura (SW Iberian Peninsula): non-stationary future return levels
    Francisco-Javier Acero, María-Isabel Fernández-Fernández, Victor-Manuel-Sánchez Carrasco, Sylvie Parey, José-Agustín García, María-Cruz Gallego
    Departamento de Física. Universidad de Extremadura (Spain)
  • Analysis of nonstationary extreme storm surges in the present and the future climate of the Aegean Sea
    Panagiota Galiatsatou, Christina Anagnostopoulou, Panayotis Prinos
    Division of Hydraulics and Environmental Research, Department of Civil Engineering, A.U.Th (Greece)
  • Climate change opens new shipping routes in the Arctic Ocean (Poster)
    Ernesto Madariaga, Francisco Correa, Francisco J. Lastra, Jesus M. Oria
    School of Nautical Studies, Universidad de Cantabria ( Spain)
  • Pollutant release from contaminated marine sediment under extreme acidification conditions due to CCS leakages and chemical spills (Poster)
    M.Camino Martín-Torre, Gema Ruiz, Berta Galán, Alberto Coz, Javier R. Viguri
    Green Engineering & Resources (GER) Research Group. ETSIIT, University of Cantabria( Spain)
  • Extremes of convective and stratiform precipitation in an ensemble of regional climate model simulations (Poster)
    Jan Kysely, Zuzana Rulfova, Ales Farda, Martin Hanel
    Institute of Atmospheric Physics CAS, Prague, (Czech Republic)
  • Extreme meteorological induced sea level trends and sensitivity to NAO in Southern Europe (Poster)
    Alba Cid, Melisa Menéndez, Sonia Castanedo, Ana J. Abascal, Fernando Méndez, Raúl Medina
    Environmental Hydraulics Institute “IH Cantabria”, Universidad de Cantabria ( Spain)

You can download the conference schedule by clicking HERE